Tenki
AI research that turns thousands of Kalshi and Polymarket markets into 3–7 evidence-backed daily picks for trades worth your time.
What is Tenki?
Tenki is an AI-powered research service built for prediction market traders on Kalshi and Polymarket. Instead of forcing you to scroll through thousands of live markets, it continuously scans every market it covers and surfaces only the handful where the price and the underlying evidence appear out of line. The goal is to replace the slow, time-consuming discovery phase with a short daily list of research-backed opportunities, so you can start your decision-making from a place of insight rather than a blank screen. Every pick Tenki sends comes with the evidence, the reasoning behind the gap it spotted, and the conditions that would need to be true for the read to be wrong. It also tracks Kalshi and Polymarket side by side in one feed, giving regular traders a second set of eyes and a verifiable reasoning trail. From launch, Tenki plans to publish a public record of every pick — settled, dated, and graded, including the misses — so users can audit the actual performance rather than rely on marketing claims. Tenki is aimed at part-time traders with busy schedules, experienced Polymarket and Kalshi users who want deeper homework, data-oriented people who like to verify, and cautious newcomers looking for a researched on-ramp. It is not a broker or a black box: it does not place trades, and it does not guarantee winners. Right now, Tenki is launching soon with a waitlist open for early access and a free two-week trial at launch.
SpecificationsAI-estimated
Key Features of Tenki
Use Cases for Tenki
Spotting mispriced markets
Tenki continuously scans Kalshi and Polymarket to flag markets where the price does not match the supporting evidence.
Saving hours of research
Turns thousands of markets into a short daily list so part-time traders can start from a focused set rather than an empty page.
Getting a second set of eyes
Experienced traders can review an independent evidence trail before deciding whether and how to size in.
Verifying market reasoning
Data-oriented users can pull the thread behind each pick and validate or challenge the analysis themselves.
Learning prediction market dynamics
Reading the daily reasoning trail teaches users how mispricing actually shows up in prediction markets over time.
Starting cautiously as a newcomer
A short, researched list gives cautious newcomers a safer on-ramp than trying to navigate an open firehose of markets.
How to use Tenki?
Join the waitlist
Sign up on the Tenki website and answer six quick questions (~60 seconds) to claim your spot and your free two-week trial at launch.
Receive your daily picks
Each morning, Tenki sends a short list of 3–7 researched picks from Kalshi and Polymarket where price and evidence look out of line.
Read the evidence trail
For each pick, review the market, the price gap, the evidence, and the reasoning behind the read so you understand the thesis.
Stress-test the reasoning
Check the conditions that would need to be true for the pick to be wrong, then decide whether the logic holds up before you act.
Make your own call
Place the trade yourself on Kalshi or Polymarket at the size you're comfortable with, and track how the public record grades each pick over time.
Pros & Cons of Tenki
Pros
- Scans thousands of markets continuously, so users don't have to
- Short daily list of 3–7 picks, not an overwhelming feed
- Every pick includes evidence, reasoning, and what could make it wrong
- Public, graded track record that shows misses as well as wins
- Covers Kalshi and Polymarket in one unified feed
Cons
- Not yet publicly available — access is currently limited to the waitlist until launch.
- Market coverage is limited to Kalshi and Polymarket and only the categories the models research well.
- No automated trade execution; users must place trades manually on the external platforms.
- No public performance history exists yet, since the service has not launched.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is Tenki available now?
Not yet — Tenki is still building toward launch and letting people in from the waitlist. When you sign up, you'll be among the first to get access.
What do early waitlist members get?
Early members get first access when the doors open, plus a free two-week trial at launch. There's no card required now — you're just claiming your spot.
Does Tenki place trades for me?
No. Tenki does the research and surfaces the picks, but you place the trade yourself on Kalshi or Polymarket and size it however you're comfortable. Tenki is the analysis, not the broker.
How many picks does Tenki send each day?
Three to seven a day, across the markets Tenki covers. Some days the board turns up more worth digging into than others — the team would rather send four well-researched picks than pad the list to hit a number.
What does 'mispriced market' mean?
A mispriced market is one where the market's price doesn't match what the evidence supports — the crowd is too confident, or not confident enough. Finding that gap, and showing the evidence for it, is Tenki's whole job.
Does Tenki guarantee winners?
No, and anyone who promises that is selling you something. Tenki surfaces where the research suggests an edge — that's different from certainty. That's exactly why it shows every miss alongside every hit.
Which markets does Tenki cover?
Tenki covers Kalshi and Polymarket, focused on the categories its models research well. The covered set shows up directly in your daily feed.
Is Tenki's track record public?
Yes. From launch, every pick gets settled and posted publicly — wins and misses both. The whole point is that you can audit the research instead of taking their word for it. There's just nothing to show yet because they haven't launched.
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